There is a slight risk today for the lower Mississippi Valley area. The tornado risk is currently at 5% for te area. An upper divergence moving to the north east and a strong influx of warm moist gulf air combine making this area a good environment for tornadic supercells.

The SPC said this: ALTHOUGH THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY WILL BE LIMITED BY CLOUD COVER  AND WEAK LAPSE RATES...THE 500-800 J/K OF MLCAPE THAT WILL ACCOMPANY THE 70 F PLUS DEWPOINTS INLAND AS WARM FRONT MOVES NWD THRU LA INTO CENTRAL MS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE SUFFICIENT GIVEN THE STRONG VEERING LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND LOW LCL/S FOR ROTATING STORMS.

BY THIS EVENING THE POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES COULD EXTEND AS FAR N ALONG MS RIVER VALLEY AS SERN AR AND NWRN MS.  IN ADDITION LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE A POSSIBILITY...PARTICULARLY ASSOCIATED WITH LINE SEGMENTS THAT  DEVELOP WITH THE STRENGTHENING LOW/MID LEVEL WINDS FIELDS.