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4-29-10 Slight Risk
Written by Jeff Gonzales   
Thursday, 29 April 2010


Slight Risk today for central / North Plains

4-29-10tr.gifThere is a slight risk today for the central and northern plains as a upper level trough continues to make its way eastward. This included portions of OK, KS, NE, MO, IA, SD, and MN. The tornado risk is currently at 5%. Jeff will be streaming Live video today from South East Kansas and will be testing video with sound.

 The SPC said this: ACTIVITY SHOULD STRENGTHEN RAPIDLY BY LATE AFTERNOON AS IT OVERTAKES THE SURFACE TRIPLE-POINT  OVER NORTH CENTRAL KS.  STORMS WILL LIKELY BECOME SUPERCELLULAR AND TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHEAST NEB AND WESTERN IA THROUGH THE  EVENING.  VERY LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN STRONGER  STORMS...ALONG WITH A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES.  RELATIVELY WEAK LOW LEVEL MOISTURE VALUES SUGGEST THAT STORMS WILL PROBABLY BEGIN TO
  WEAKEN SOON AFTER DARK.

 
4-24-10 High Risk
Written by Jeff Gonzales   
Saturday, 24 April 2010


High Risk today, 4-24-10, for Dixie Alley

3-24-10tr.gifThere is a high risk today for severe weather for what is Known as Dixie Alley. This is taking place a a upper lever trough continues to make its way eastward. This is the first High Risk of the season. This high risk includes MS, AL, and parts of TN. There is currently a 30% chance for tornadoes. Outside of the high risk is a moderate and a slight risk for much of the rest of Dixie alley. It is possible for Jeff to have live video today for IA and MO areas.

The SPC said this: ...LA/MS/AL/TN...  THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS   MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF LA/AR/MS...ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE PRIMARY   SURFACE COLD FRONT.  RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING 4-24-10hr.gifLOW LEVEL WINDS AND WARM ADVECTION ARE LEADING TO DISCRETE CONVECTIVE INITIATION...WITH  NUMEROUS STORMS SHOWING MID LEVEL ROTATION.  THIS ACTIVITY WILL   SPREAD EASTWARD INTO AL AND TN WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE   HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES THROUGH THE MORNING.
  
   A FEW HOURS OF HEATING WILL LIKELY PROMOTE ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE  STORMS BY EARLY AFTERNOON OVER EASTERN MS...MUCH OF AL...AND  POTENTIALLY INTO MIDDLE TN.  THESE STORMS ARE FORECAST TO BE THE  MORE SIGNIFICANT OF THIS EVENT...WITH THE RISK OF DAMAGING TORNADOES   AND WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS.  STORMS WILL TRACK EASTWARD INTO  WESTERN GA DURING THE EVENING HOURS.

 
4-22-10 sw KS
Written by Jeff Gonzales   
Friday, 23 April 2010


4-22-10 Tornado Outbreak.

kljk.jpgJeff met up with Randy Cooper of StormChaseMO.com and headed to Dodge City, KS at 12:20 early morning of 4-22-10. Finally arrived at 5:00am and stayed at a hotel there. In the morning Jeff and Randy headed west out toward KS/CO boarder for the tripple point play. Jeff was able to catch up to a tornado warned storm at the boarder, but it quickly died down. They then decided to head toward a severe storm to the south west of Lakin, KS. Jeff and Randy quickly got to the south east side of the storm just as it became tornado warned. Jeff noticed a large wedge shape in the horizon where the storm was. It was too far to tell if it  was a wall cloud or a large wedge tornado. As it turns out it was a 1 mile  wide wedge tornado. As it got closer to Lakin, KS the tornado became rain wrapped. Jeff and Randy headed toward the rotation where there was violent rotation seen within the rain. Jeff continued north east with the storm where he saw 2 different nice short lived stove pipe tornadoes. As they continued with the storm, another large wedge shaped tornado was seeing in the rain. Just as that tornado died, a storm to the south east had a newly formed stove pipe tornado. This tornado lasted for about 10 minutes while a small satalite tornado touchdown breifly. Jeff was able to stream this tornado live. Jeff will be posting video and photos of the chase soon.

  • States Traveled: NE, KS, CO
  •  Hail: quarter
  • Miles Traveled: 910
  • Tornadoes: 6

 

Last Updated ( Sunday, 25 April 2010 )
 
4-22-10 SLight Risk
Written by Jeff Gonzales   
Thursday, 22 April 2010


Slight Risk today, 4-22-10, for much of OK, TX, KS and east CO

4-23-10tr.gifThere is a slight risk today for severe weather for much of TX, KS, OK, and western CO. The tornado risk is currently at 10% for west TX and west OK, and 5% else where in the west portion of the slight risk. Jeff is currently in Dodge City, KS as a target for now going on the tripple point play. He will be streaming live today. Be sure to follow on twiter for live updates.

 The SPC said this:

KS: EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 35-45 KT WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT STORM ROTATION...WITH POTENTIAL FOR MORE INTENSE CELLS TO PRODUCE LARGE  HAIL AND POSSIBLY A FEW TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY FROM NERN CO INTO WRN  KS WHERE STEEPER LAPSE RATES WILL BE PRESENT.

OK/TX: THE INITIAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL/ERN TX PANHANDLE BEFORE THEY MOVE INTO WRN OK...FOLLOWED BY A MORE  EXTENSIVE BAND OF STORMS FROM THE ERN TX PANHANDLE SWD INTO THE   SOUTH PLAINS AS THE COLD FRONT SURGES EWD TONIGHT.  STRONG DEEP   LAYER SHEAR WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SUPERCELL GENERATION...ESPECIALLY  WITH MORE DISCRETE CELLS THAT FORM INITIALLY...AND THE COMBINATION  OF STEEP LAPSE RATES AND FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL SHEAR/SRH WILL RESULT   IN A FEW STRONGER SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL  AND TORNADOES.  
  

 
4-21-10 Slight risk
Written by Jeff Gonzales   
Wednesday, 21 April 2010


Slight Risk today, 4-21-10, for OK and TX Panhandles , and UT , ID area

4-21-10sr.gifThere is a slight risk today for severe weather for Oklahama and Texas panhandles and for south east Colorado. Here the tornado risk is currently at 5%. 4-21-10tr.gifThere is also a slight risk west CO, WY, ID and UT.

The SPC said this: FORECAST HODOGRAPHS SHOW FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR  FOR PERSISTENT STORMS...AND AN INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL SHEAR LATE THIS   EVENING WITH A DEVELOPING 25-35 KT SLY/SSELY LLJ.  A COUPLE OF  TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS WILL ALL BE  POSSIBLE FROM MID-LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY TONIGHT.

 
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Jeff's 2010 Stats

  •  Chases: 14
  • Miles: 7840
  • States: NE, IA, MO, KS, CO, MN, OK, SD 
  • Tornadoes: 19
  • Hail: ping pong ball 

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